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I imagine it and the wand will be a failure. It's not an issue of technology, but there are a couple problems.

1) Developers will avoid it like they do the Wii remote. If we've learned anything this generation it's that developers are generally uncreative. Making Wii games is a risk, and that risk just skyrocketed making HD games on a HD system with all those associated HD costs.

If anything they'll be control options and an interesting novelty, which is exactly what the PS360 crowd has treated motion controls like anyway.

2) Sony and Microsoft and 3rd parties in general have been laughing at the expanded audience. They've made no effort nor shown any desire to get to know the audience they're trying to capture. This is going to come back and bite them in the ass big time.

It's kind of weird how people are predicting natal and wand to be some second coming of massive sales, especially since up til the day they were announced motion controls were supposed to be some shitty gimmick that wasn't worthy of gaming in general.

The sad reality is no one is making motion controls worth a damn except Nintendo. 3rd parties are utterly and helplessly clueless. Only Nintendo games sell on Wii for a reason: 3rd party developers suck, and that's really the only people who will be programming for natal and wand.

First time I saw natal 2 things popped into my head:
Coolest thing ever, endless possibilities
and
Too bad no one will do anything with it

Makes me sad, to be honest :( We went from 2d graphics to 3rd graphics just like we're moving from 2d control to 3d control and the industry as a whole is sitting with their thumbs up their asses goin MORE BLOOM!