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The Gap right now should be 5.3 / 5.4M, and by the end of 2010, it will be 2M, with PS3 at 46M and 360 at 48.

So, 360 will be the first to reach 50M, just my forecast, don't quote it !

Anyway, it's meaningless, as PS3 is now selling a lot better than 360 worldwide, and we all know that 360 was launched 1 full year before PS3 in America and Japan, and nearly 16 months before in Europe.  Now, if you consider this, and the fact PS3 has already a bigger user-base than 360 in Japan, Europe and Others(check the charts), we have a winner!   The only place where 360 has a bigger user-base is America; in all other territories PS3 has a bigger user-base, not bad for a console released later than the MS one. see above.