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You Don't really think that its going to have an effect like the wii did do you? The masses? ok let me explain this to you

elderly people play the wii
a lot of Females love the wii
kids love the wii
Blokes mostly like the wii because they know if they get it to make the wife happy they might get "some" that night.

That is the mass audience the wii sold too, my nan plays the wii, can you imgine what games and elderly person would like to play on NATAL? can you imagine your nan playing halo reach???

do you imagine lots of women who like the wii wanting to jump ships really?
and what happens to the blokes who can't be arsed to get up jump around and pretend to shoot after a hard days work, the people that just want to use a controller, Yes nintendo took the chance and make it well, Microsoft is blatantly copying because they saw the sucess but its really not going to work out the same, like i said. yes it will sell and it will find and audience but nothing in comparison to what the Wii found