uhm, no.
If it sold like wii, then two thing shappen 1) it keeps high price longer. 2) the cost to manufacture drops much, much quicker, so the profit per unit would go up quicker. They would not be losing so much money on each console.
If sony sells 15M in year 1, they are profitable per unit right away. instead they ground out 15M ins ales over a long time thus slowly, oh so slowy, dropping the production costs down...
They would rather be losing money at #1 then losing money at #3!
Trying to convince me the Wii is a real adult game machine 'if you play it right' is like trying to convince me Tofu tastes great 'if you just cook it right'