Natal will fail, and not based on it's quality or functionality.
It will fail because consumers are not as dumb as MS thinks and game makers will not be quick to adopt it. And what I mean by that is there trying to release an expensive peripheral when both game players and companies know this generation is at the least in the second half if not the third quarter. With out a good base of games people are not going to buy it and the companies are not going to be quick to spend a lot of resources and hire extra people just to develop for it when sales will only be increased a small amount or very low if the control is Natal only.
And I base this on the history of expensive console add-ons that have basically all failed in the past sega-cd and the power glove comes to mind.
At least that's my opinion.
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