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Who knows?

All I know is, PS3 fans underestimated Microsoft before the launch of the 360. Then 360 fans underestimated Sony before it's first price cut. Then PS3 fans underestimated the 360 pricecut, then 360 fans underestimated the slim/$299.

and now PS3 fans are underestimating natal/price cut.

Positions isn't the only thing yo yo'in this generation.