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Alan Wake is the only Xbox game I'm sure I'll buy.

Never finished Mass Effect, so unless 2 fixes all the things that kept me from enjoying the experience enough to see the entire story, there's no reason why I'd want more of the same. Most likely end up getting the PC version if so.

I'm also picking up Natal, although I can potentially see it ending up permanently attached to one of my PCs instead as a UI.

Heavy Rain is a definite for the PS3, God of War III and GT5 are also obvious buys. Last Guardian if it meets expectations. FFXIII Versus if it brings something to the table that FFXVIII doesn't.

2009 has been a really thin year for the 360 for me personally. As of right now, 2010 is looking like a repeat of 2009.