Dr.Grass said:
Yeah as if historical precedent could have EVER predicted that Nintendo would be 1st and Sony 3rd!!! No statistical model can predict what's going to happen. Short term extrapolation is all that works, and that's pretty much what he's doing. |
Hmm. . . we're going to have to agree to disagree here. In my opinion short term extrapolation is a good way to cook the books (like Enron: hey we made 1,000,000 yesterday, therefore we'll make 3.65 billion this year), but if you want good long-term extrapolation you need long-term data.









