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This is the way I look at it. The BDA wants to win this war, as does Warner. If you're going to choose a format, go with Blu-Ray, because it's the only way one format will win.

If you go with HD DVD, you're just giving Toshiba more marketshare, and thus power, enabling them to stay in the game longer and create this dual format world they're looking for, thus forcing you two buy a second player later on, whether it's a Blu-Ray player to compliment your HD DVD player, or a dual-format player to replace it.