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Microsoft will spend lots on advertising and pushing Natal in the USA which will be the key market. Most things which are fashionable and popular usually start off big in the USA and then take over worldwide.
Money spent on Natal advertising could be bigger than Halo 3.
Natal will have a lot of games it will be launched with which will drive its sales. Future big games on XBox 360 could have the Natal option which would further drive the Natal's popularity. Natal needs no hardware. It will be innovation, revolutionary and may take the video game industry into the future.
Wii was the start. Natal could be the next move.