sc94597 said:
The problem with that idea is that people are buying it for more then 1 wii mote. So you would have to multiply the userbase by 4 to get a "high end" attach ratio. It is hard to tell how much Wii's have Motion Plus so you can't really make an attach rate. |
Yes I know but if the percentage becomes higer (~50% or more) it means also that new buyers are probably buying the console with the pheriphal, or that customers without it are buying it; even if not all the customers have the accessory, still the percentage is indicative for the developers to know what the userbase could be.
In this case with 58m Wiis and 15m WM+ (my estimate) there's atleast a 6% of Wii users who have the Wm+ (counting all the users have 4 Wiimotes, that is unlikely). So now there is an attach rate of 6-25%...probably between 10 and 15% of Wii users.
Next year the Wm+ can reach easily 30-40 millions, that it the best case would mean 40-50%, and in the worst 10-20; I would see in this case a probable attach rate of 30%, and that would be a very good result for thevelopers, 1 out of three customers would have the Wm+.
Though the 50% attach rate is quite impossible to reach, that would need another 1-2 years for the Wii and I'm not sure it'll last that long...