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koffieboon on 26 November 2009
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ZorroX said:

@slowmo, well actually Microsoft made:
1) An additional 60Gb value for pro model(299$ elite) in August.

2) Then Microsoft did a 50$ rebate for those models during Halo 3 ODST release.

3) Then 1(2) week(s) 99$ walmart offer for arcade models.
4) Then MW2 elite bundle.

I think, Microsoft did almost everything, to stop the gap decrease.
But those 2 weeks have ended, i expect now around 200-220k sales for x360 and around 400 for PS3 for this week.

If not Walmart deal and MW2 bundle, x360 now would be much less compared to ps3 2008. And so far, the difference in x360 favour is not that big, that`s why i think my maximal x360 limit for 2009 is right.

How did you arrive at those estimates? Even if you say Xbox 360's sales were inflated because of the Walmart deal I would expect you to look at the sales level before this took place, which is the week ending October 31. Sales numbers for that week were 161k for Xbox 360 and 255k for PS3. So basically you expect Xbox 360 to see a raise compared to last few weeks of only 24-37%, while you expect PS3 to see a raise in sales of 57% at the same time.

And these differences only become bigger if we account for Japan. Xbox 360 sold a little over 5k 3 weeks ago and PS3 was at around 35k, so without Japan numbers for the week ending October 31 were at about 155k for Xbox 360 and 220k for PS3. Taking the already available Famitsu number as last weeks PS3 sales in Japan and assuming Xbox 360 once again sold around 5k for your prediction to be right Xbox 360 needs to sell 195-215k outside of Japan, while PS3 needs to sell 370k. This would mean a 26-39% increase for Xbox 360 compared to the week ending October 31. PS3 would have to see an increase of 68% outside of Japan to reach your expected numbers.

So why expect PS3 to see much bigger increases in sales than Xbox 360 compared to the period before the Walmart deal?