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N.Genckel said:
It'll be MAX 99$. Might even go as low as 49$, if MS are seriously serious about getting this thing out to the public.

(~50% adoption) 20 million * $150 loss per unit (approx $199.99 cost-of-goods)== 3 billion USD lost.

(~50% adoption) 20 million * $50 loss per unit (approx $99.99 cost-of-goods) == 1 billion USD lost.

 

I don't think it'll be $49.99..