Wii 10 mln. or PS3 5 mln. in Japan. Who first?

[saicho]

ZorroX said:

saicho said:

ZorroX said:

@jarrod, one game is not enough.
There must be several big games for success in Japan.

Again, strong support =/= big sales, but a lot of games. And PS3 owns Saturn/N64/GC in terms of quantity and quality of 1st/2nd party games. Though, most games are west oriented.

Also, +-5k i count as around 30k+ levels. I mean, 27-28k it`s still around 30k+.
I don`t expect PS3 to go below 25k for 5 weeks in Japan during 2010.

@saicho, i don`t make bets for half a year or a year. That would take to much time for waiting.

This thread is gonna take 6 months to see how it would turn out and you don't seem to mind waiting.

So 6 months bet and from today... So, you wanna bet, that PS3 will sell below 25k for more than 5 weeks during January - February - March - April - May. You really do?

Well, i think PS3 will reach 5M atleast by the end of March 2010 in Japan(if GT5 still will come in March). And there is a slim chance, that this will happen before the end of January, since you never know, how big will be this holiday for PS3.

now you are just twisting my words and backing off from your original prediction.

1. The thread was made at the end of September and neither Wii or PS3 is gonna hit the target stated until end of Mar which is 6 months. You said you don't make bets for half a year or a year.

2. Ogirinally you said "Now price is affordable and sales have stabilized at 30k+. They are not going below that level for 90% of 2010." and I said it won't happen. Now you are changing the bar to 25K. 30K+ would mean more than 30K, not more than 25K.

3. Dec 2009 is not part of 2010. I would bet with you that in the first 6 months of 2010, PS3 would sell less than 30K in Japan for at least 3 weeks. 10 % of 6 months is 2.6 weeks.