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Alby_da_Wolf said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Alby_da_Wolf said:

In favour of Sony: PS3 reached its first real sweet spot recently, so it has more potential for sales boosts.
Against Nintendo: Wii was affordable since the beginning and already had several Mario games, so die-hard Mario minions should already have bought one and a new Mario game, despite selling an awful lot of copies as it will, won't move many more consoles than usual.
In favour of Nintendo: we're talking about Japan, so, if we aren't Japanese gamers, and with strong Japanese market analysis skills too, we cannot really tell very much for sure.


  Wii had other 2D Mario Platformers, where?

Can't you read? I wrote Wii already had "several Mario games", NOT "several 2D Mario Platformers". Are you really persuaded die-hard Mario fans are refusing to buy a Wii until a 2D Mario platformer is released? Wasn't any previous Wii Mario game enough to make them buy the console? How many die-hard Mario and Nintendo fans do you know that won't buy a Wii until NSMBW is released?

Obviously, like any big game, it will move some HW sales, but I wouldn't expect miracles. I'm not 100% sure, anyhow, like I wrote too, I don't know Japan, so there could be something I don't know in NSMBW that would trigger Japan sales, but I'm pretty sure It won't be Mario minions waiting for it to buy a Wii.


  Are you capable of simple reasoning, the point is that 2D Mario is very different beast than 3D Mario, with very different appeal, 2D gaming has a very different appeal than 3D gaming.

You really don't get it do you?  Mario Kart is not the same thing as NSMB, Galaxy is not the same thing, Mario Party is not, nor is Mario tennis or Mario Golf or any of the other Mario games

Slapping Mario on the label doesn't mean the games appeal to the same people,  Kart is a racer, Galaxy is a 3D platformer, Smash is a Fighter, Golf and tennis and strikers and the other sports games are sports games, those are all different genres, they don't have the same people who like them.



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)