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In favour of Sony: PS3 reached its first real sweet spot recently, so it has more potential for sales boosts.
Against Nintendo: Wii was affordable since the beginning and already had several Mario games, so die-hard Mario minions should already have bought one and a new Mario game, despite selling an awful lot of copies as it will, won't move many more consoles than usual.
In favour of Nintendo: we're talking about Japan, so, if we aren't Japanese gamers, and with strong Japanese market analysis skills too, we cannot really tell very much for sure.



Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")
A fart without stink is like a sky without stars.
TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW!