Again, Sony doesn't own blu-ray. The BDA owns blu-ray and it's estimated that Sony has roughly a 30% stake in the BDA. The BDA has it's own marketing and administrative costs, for example the half billion dollars that the BDA paid Warner to beat HD-DVD.
So the BDA would have to be profiting for Sony to even receive any royalty money.
Anyone can guess. It takes no effort to throw out lots of predictions and have some of them be correct. You are not and wiser or better for having your guesses be right. Even a blind man can hit the bullseye.







