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Kasz216 on 09 November 2009
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Rath said:
Kasz216 said:
Rath said:

There is almost no chance that it's a coincidence, statistically that is.

Also can we not turn this into a topic about Obama?

Not trying too.  It's just a funny coincidence. You were one of the people who thought that was race based right?


As for statistical coincidences... that's the kind of statement that's used to prove that the bible can tell the future.

 

It may be the same sort of language, but it's not the same sort of thing.

The problems of prophecy are based around the fact that they always fit at least one of the following categories; likely events, not enough detail, no limit on time, no specified time and a whole lot of different prophecies. You can find something to fit the prophecies (or you can't prove them wrong) because of that.

This is just straight up statistics, what are the chances of those letters turning up in that order. The one in eight billion number isn't actually correct (as you pointed out), though the number will still be very high (ie. worse than one in a million). It would have to take into account how often a letter starts a word and how long a veto normally is.

Lets pretend that there are only 7 letters in the English language. F, U, C, K, Y, O. What are the chances that they will appear in that order (fuck you) on any given seven lines?

If I'm not mistaken (it has been a couple of years since I did stats) it's 1/(7^7). Thats about a 1 in 823000 chance.

 

It simply didn't happen by accident - Arnie put it in there. Maybe you should reconsider your view of his English skills? =P

Lets say it is one in 8 million just for the hell of it.

 

Over the entire history of the united states.  How many vetos do you think have been used by govoners?

Or statements in general?

 

What over 8 million by a lot?  Which again is why such statistics don't really work.

 

Taken to one specific message... 1 in 8 million makes it sound like it can never be a coincdience...

 

Even when dealing with a sample size well over 8 million.