The game will sell more than 12 million in its first year, maybe even 15.
This game WILL be one of the 10 best selling games of all time. This game is Nintendo's ace in the hole. You can play it alone and have friends hop in and out at any level. Instead of tacking multiplayer minigames on the side (even though they're here too, and awesome), you can play every single level in the game 1-4 players, in either the regular adventure, or the coin battle mode. Oh man so good.
HERE is the trend we should be looking at:
The first 2-D Mario game on any console explodes. A new console means a new way to play, enjoy, eat/sleep/breathe 2-D Mario action.
Super Mario Bros. - 40 million, the game that invented all this gangsta shit
Super Mario World - 20 million (and the reason many people bought a SNES, it showcased the beautiful new 16-bit graphics back when graphical leaps were huuuuge each time)
New SMB - 19 million (and the reason many people bought a DS)
Super Mario Land - 18 million (and the reason many people bought a Game Boy)
New SMB Wii is the first 2-D Mario game (Super Paper Mario obviously doesn't count as it's a story-driven comedy RPG/platformer hybrid), and New SMB Wii showcases the Wii by using tilt and shaking functions, but only sparingly so they enhance the gameplay like delicious sprinkles, rather than making it a wagglemasher. And it showcases the philosophy of the Wii, which is getting a group of people together and having a blast, with everybody dressed in white and high-fiving.
This game is THEE Christmas gift, for this year and the next year. People will be picking this game up when they buy a new Wii, for years to come. But it will only take one year for this game to crush 11 million sales.
The moment of silence is appreciated. I think I'll have another right now...