When will Wii surpass 360 (if ever)?

[auroragb]

I think that Wii should be ~9 million by October. When I initially thought that it would surpass x360 in Oct. I totally forgot that people would still buy x360 between now and then... So factoring that MS sells ~500k / month MS should hit ~13M by Oct. Nov and Dec will be interesting. Nintendo should definitely have capacity by then to deliver ~2M / month / Earth :P MS will not have the advantage of being the only console with stock. But will be certain to have some console seller. So I expect them to move ~ 1.5M/month/earth for the holiday months So by end of 2007, there should be 13M Wii and 16M x360's Given the new capacity, Wii shall handily outsell x360 in Japan by 4-500k units/ month. So, I suspect that the line will be crossed in April/May 2008 I think that Euro launch of the PS3 shall go well. But I have trouble imagining that sony will be able to move more than 400k / month up to October, except in the Euro launch month where they should be able to move 1M. So they should be up to 5.5M by end of October. I think Xmas will be good to them and they'll move ~1M / month. So, by end of 2007. they should be up to 7.5M, possibly even 8M. 2008 is impossible to really forecast till ~Oct, when the '08 launches are more known