I wonder why 11 million is the divider here. Wouldn't 10 million be a better number?
Realistically, New Super Mario Bros. Wii will do at least 5 million first year. And that is if the game flops hard. Anything less than 5 million will be a megaflop, and mean the game won't have any legs (since it will most likely do at least 2 million in its first two weeks).
5-6 million = flop
7-8 million = good sales with some legs
9-10 million = success with good legs
11+ million = great success with awesome legs
Can it become a great success? I don't know. I hope so.
@Angrypoolman - I hope you realize that Wii Fit, Mario Kart Wii and Wii Sports are the games that New Super Mario Bros. Wii should actually be compared against. If it fails to reach those games, it's a failiure. If it reaches or surpasses them, it's a success.
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