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hanafuda said:
'After that though it's pretty barren until FFXIII, while Wii has a ton of surefire sellers in between (Taiko Wii 2, Tales of Graces, Sengoku Musou 3, NSMB Wii, PokePark, Mario & Sonic 2, Crystal Bearers).'.

Surefire sellers eh?

All those games will break at least 200k, they're all pretty much guaranteed that.  At least half will break 300k and couple will break 500k.  The only PS3 games I see doing similarly in the same period are WE2010, FFXIII and maybe Dragon Ball.

I don't think any are necessarily big hardware drivers, but as DS and PS2 have proven, it's not just the big games, it's the stuff in between that keeps you afloat.  A full lineup's more important than one big title on it's own, which is why Wii just recently struggled after MH3.