^You are assuming that PS3 will do better in 2009 than in 2008, and that Wii has peaked, however Wii's 2010 lineup is much stronger than the PS3's not to mention, PS3 will be facing greater price pressures and competition than the Wii in 2010. Also if the Wand fails, then Sony will be forced into trying to adapt for the next gen.
Actually profit is a much bigger issue than growth and the loss of stock value, because profits allow you to pay out dividends and keep your investors happy, and Sony is in big trouble with regards to profit, their still losing money on the 120GB slim, and with price cuts coming next year, will probably face continued losses.
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
