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Avinash_Tyagi said:
Procrastinato said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Sony will have a hard time keeping the PS3 going for more than 2-3 more years, just because of the issue of sales, they'll need a new console by 2012 at the latest, although more than likely 2011, especially if the Wand doesn't take off

I think this post must have come through some sort of time-warp, from 2007. =)


No, not at all, just looking at the facts, Sony used a price drop and newly revised hardware to get them to where they are, but so what, you don't think that MS will price cut the 360, possibly before the holidays, and certainly next spring, not to mention when NATAL releases they'll try and bundle it but keep the price the same, as a result Sony will also price cut, by next fall you can bet that PS3 and 360 will be $250 tops, possibly $199, basically both systems are running out of price room to maneuver in, not to mention, you'll see a sales decline in the next few years from the PS3 and 360, so yeah a 2-3 year range for the PS3 and 360 is very likely

Sorry Avinash... I just don't agree.  I think you're missing an awful lot of information, and are unable to make a decent analysis.  No offense.

Prices don't just "drop" for no reason -- it may have appeared that way, historically, but we are entering a radically new era, in terms of technology pricing and production.  On top of that, natal will be heinously expensive -- don't kid yourself into thinking otherwise.

In other news, HD TV adoption continues to rise, and with that, the Wii's marketshare will continue to decline.  As a matter of fact, HD TV penetration and the HD console marketshare (vs the Wii marketshare) change in an almost linear fashion -- progress will just plain remove the Wii from the equation, if it doesn't evolve sooner, rather than later.  It has penetrated enough to sustain software sales for a couple more years without progression, but beyond that, it'll simply fall flat on its face.  

Nintendo won't sit on their laurels and watch the competition take over their market years later.  Nintendo will suppliment the Wii, likely with a new hardware revision, pretty soon.  2011 at the latest.