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kamil on 14 November 2007
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I think that it is right timt to revieve this thread as recent sales figures shine a new light on the subject.

I assembled most titles mentioned in the thread and here is the list of games people thought to break a million:
Everybody's golf 5, Grand Turismo 5 Prologue, Haze, Metal Gear Solid 4, Heavenly Sword, Warhawk, Assasin Creed, Ratchet and Clank, Final Fantasy XIII, Uncharted, Killzone, 2, Little Big Planet, Devil May Cry 4, Pro Evolution Soccer 08, Fifa 08, Madden 08, Elder Scrolls 4, Singstar, Guitar Hero 3, Eye of Judgement, Lair, SOCOM, Call of Duty 4.

The title which has the biggest chance is in my opinion Call of Duty 4, with great debut (179k) in USA and also in UK. It can made 600k to the end of year in America alone so with the help of Europe in can break a million this year.

Some titles mentioned seem to have little or none chance of being 3rd million seller: Heavenly Sword (its numbers have been lowered in America, it didn't sold spectacular in Europe and Japan retailers preordered only 30k), Warhawk (almost non-existant in European charts and only 150k in USA, however it's hard to judge online sales), Lair (non-existant in European charts and only 150k in USA) and Eye of Judgment (sales way below expectations).

Footbal games performed (PES, Fifa) well on European charts being on top for several weeks. PS3 version was in most terretories behind PS2 version but ahead of Xbox 360 version. But no real numbers were given for Europe, so it's hard to judge how far to million units sold those 2 titles are.

Ratchet and Clank after 3 weeks sold 180k. It's not bad but CoD did the same in 1 week. Ratchet may be at around 400k in America at the end of the year and it won't be enough to be a million seller as it debuted with only 11k in Japan. I still think Ratchet will break a million but not as a 3rd PS3 title.