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koffieboon on 23 October 2009
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ZorroX said:

4th year on the market. Do you read me?
No new pricedrops. Price is same as last year, 199$ is entry price and 299$ for main model.
Or maybe some people believe, that L4D2 and Forza 3 are huge system sellers?
And MW2 bundle cost 399$, which only hardcore CoD4:MW fans would buy.

So far, the scenario is where PS3 is doing better, than x360 last year. And x360 is doing worse, than PS3 last year.
I noticed this trend several weeks ago and decided to make a thread.

Of`course, there is a chance, for x360 to perform better, than 3.5 mln.(PS3 2008 numbers), x360 is still strong competitor in NA.
But so and PS3 this year.

@koffieboon, i looked at numbers:
http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii®1=------&cons2=PS3®2=America&cons3=X360®3=America&start=39698&end=40104
x360 sales also a bit down compared to last year, and only with help of Halo:ODST were able to stabilize at 75-80k range so far.
So i wouldn`t expect last year x360 numbers in NA. In best case, this would be still 2.5 mln. for the rest of year.
And with 50% down in Others or total around 1 mln. units(unless Forza 3 will do wonders), that would be still around 3.5 mln. total numbers.
I just don`t see why x360 sales would increase on 4th year of sales without pricedrops. Those who wanted x360 at 199-299$ already bought it last year and now only stable/regular sales for HD console are left.

Overall, this year is about 299$ 120GB PS3 vs 299$ 120GB x360. PS3 is very likely to take some x360 sales this year. We will see pretty soon

I really don't care for which year in the market it is, I'm just looking at the sales patterns of both this and last year and both are doing close to 80k weeks at the moment in the Americas, with Halo 3 ODST not having a big impact on this years numbers. Also I don't expect Xbox 360 to reach last years numbers, my prediction puts it at around 10-20% lower than last year. Your worst case scenario however puts it at around 50% of last years numbers, how is that a reasonable prediction?

Your 1 million prediction for Others is also very low. Yes current sales are almost 50% lower than last year, but in 2007 they were even lower (apart from a 2 week bump around the release of Halo 3) around 40k per week compared to 55-60k per week this year. Yet it still managed to sell 1,1 million units for the rest of 2007. Xbox 360 should easily be able to outsell its 2007 numbers, which puts its lower bound above 1,1 million for that region.