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koffieboon on 23 October 2009
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ZorroX, I think you're too positive about PS3 and too negative about Xbox 360.

Breaking it up into the 3 different regios:

Last week PS3 was below what Xbox 360 sold last year in the same week. I take last week's numbers because PS3's numbers for this week got a bump from Uncharted so doesn't give a good picture of its normal sales level. Xbox 360's sales were at the same level, this is an indication both will sell close to each other for the rest of the year in the Americas. Now looking at the releases for the rest of the year Xbox 360 got some big exclusives left (Forza 3, Left4Dead 2 and 2nd downloadable episode of GTA IV), while PS3 just had its last one released. While in the coming weeks the effect of Uncharted 2 fades Xbox 360 will see its own bumps based on those exclusives, which most likely will put it above PS3 then. Of course there are also some big multiplatform releases, with Modern Warfare 2 being by far the biggest. Taking the Xbox 360 bundle and the preorder charts into account it seems like that one will also have a bigger impact on Xbox 360. All in all I expect Xbox 360 to slightly outsell PS3 in the US. Because of the bigger competition between both platforms neither will reach Xbox 360's last years numbers, I'd say about 2,2-2,5 million for PS3 and 2,3-2,7 million for Xbox 360.

In Others I once again look at last weeks numbers for comparison to last years numbers. PS3 is about even with Xbox 360's numbers and slightly ahead of its own numbers from last year. Xbox 360 is only selling close to 50% of last years numbers, but selling more than it did it 2007 when it ended up selling 1,1 million. I expect PS3 to slightly outsell Xbox 360's last year numbers because Xbox 360 this year won't match PS3's last years numbers so it has less competition. This puts my expectations for PS3 between 2,2 and 2,5 million and Xbox 360 between 1,4 and 1,6 million.

In Japan Xbox 360 will probably sell close to 100k, PS3 will sell somewhere between 500-800k depending on how succesful Final Fantasy XIII ends up.

All combined my numbers for both platforms are:

PS3: Upper limit is 5,8 million, lower limit 4,9 million.
Xbox 360: Upper limit 4,4 million, lower limit 3,8 million.

And a difference between both platforms ranging from 5,2 and 6,7 million.