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ioi said:
Ail said:
ioi said:

Looks like someone is going to lose a bet!

@Zorro - now that release dates are set (I'm thinking NSMB Wii mainly) and we have seen where both consoles are settling, want to have one chance to edit the data?

 

27-Sep-09 13,000 8,554,862 45,000 3,623,866
04-Oct-09 30,000 8,599,862 37,000 3,653,866
11-Oct-09 30,000 8,641,362 30,000 3,681,866
18-Oct-09 27,000 8,679,862 27,000 3,706,866
25-Oct-09 25,000 8,704,862 23,000 3,729,866
01-Nov-09 35,000 8,739,862 29,000 3,758,866
08-Nov-09 36,000 8,775,862 32,000 3,790,866
15-Nov-09 42,000 8,817,862 26,500 3,817,366
22-Nov-09 40,000 8,857,862 27,500 3,844,866
29-Nov-09 52,500 8,910,362 35,500 3,880,366
06-Dec-09 155,000 9,065,362 45,500 3,925,866
13-Dec-09 135,000 9,200,362 60,000 3,985,866
20-Dec-09 190,000 9,390,362 165,000 4,150,866
27-Dec-09 255,000 9,645,362 115,000 4,265,866
03-Jan-10 165,000 9,810,362 100,000 4,365,866
10-Jan-10 65,000 9,875,362 47,500 4,413,366
17-Jan-10 50,000 9,925,362 37,500 4,450,866
24-Jan-10 40,000 9,965,362 33,000 4,483,866
31-Jan-10 35,000 10,000,362 30,000 4,513,866

Am I reading that wrong or are your numbers off ?

With this week famitsu numbers we should have

Oct 18 : Wii 8.64 millions, PS3 3.74.. ( oct 11th VGnumbers are Wii 8.61, PS3 3.71)

Just factoring this and keeping your predictions this gives :

31-Jan-10 : Wii 9,961,000 PS3 4,543,000

Lets say your Wii numbers end up being off 150k or so (10%) and now Wii isn't hitting 10 millions before march...

Yeah I haven't copied the last 2 weeks correctly - this is more like it:

27-Sep-09 12,415 8,549,427 45,430 3,642,478
04-Oct-09 33,831 8,583,258 37,642 3,680,120
11-Oct-09 30,494 8,613,752 29,629 3,709,749
18-Oct-09 27,000 8,640,752 27,000 3,736,749
25-Oct-09 25,000 8,665,752 23,000 3,759,749
01-Nov-09 35,000 8,700,752 29,000 3,788,749
08-Nov-09 36,000 8,736,752 32,000 3,820,749
15-Nov-09 42,000 8,778,752 26,500 3,847,249
22-Nov-09 40,000 8,818,752 27,500 3,874,749
29-Nov-09 52,500 8,871,252 35,500 3,910,249
06-Dec-09 155,000 9,026,252 45,500 3,955,749
13-Dec-09 135,000 9,161,252 60,000 4,015,749
20-Dec-09 190,000 9,351,252 165,000 4,180,749
27-Dec-09 255,000 9,606,252 115,000 4,295,749
03-Jan-10 165,000 9,771,252 100,000 4,395,749
10-Jan-10 65,000 9,836,252 47,500 4,443,249
17-Jan-10 50,000 9,886,252 37,500 4,480,749
24-Jan-10 40,000 9,926,252 33,000 4,513,749
31-Jan-10 35,000 9,961,252 30,000 4,543,749

 

 

 

One thing I will agree with you is the PS3 ain't gonna hit 5 million units before march, even if your PS3 numbers were off they clearly show that.

So the only question that remains is whether the Wii will manage to hit 10 millions before that date or not ( with your updated numbers the Wii is now hitting 10 millions  the first week of february).

 

Personnaly I think you are a little overestimating the 2 weeks around Chrismas and the Wii will end January around 9.85 million units but probably will still win the contest mid March.



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !