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damndl0ser said:
Cross-X said:
What honestly makes people think Halo: Reach would sell 15 mil?

I reckon Halo 3 would reach the 15 mil mark before Reach even reaches 10 mil.

Once Reach is released you can count on Halo 3's sales dropping off a cliff.  It would be like people purchasing Halo 2 when halo 3 was out.  Not really much incentive really because everyone will be in the new game.  ODST never gave anyone the incentive to stop playing h3.

Fair enough but that still doens't give a full justification as to why some people think it'll sell 15 mil, even more than Halo 3. Let's assume that Halo 3 reaches 11.5 mil by the time Reach is released. Even after the release of Reach, Halo 3 continues to sell so it reaches 12 mil. So some people are saying that  Reach will sell more copies than Halo 3 in 2 yrs or how long it ever takes for Reach to sell 15 mil?! That's VERY highly unlikely to happen.

Yes Bungie is developing Reach. Yes they're making it from a new engine. Yes they're probably going to introduce new gameplay. Yes the book might've been good. But all that ain't gonna prove that Reach would sell 15 mil. I truly believe that no 360 game will sell outsell Halo 3. I said this previously in a different topic. Not even a Halo game can kill Halo 3 in sales.

And don't get the impression that I said that because of the way ODST is selling. ODST doesn't even belong in this argument. No one can really say that Reach won't sell a lot because of how ODST is going because most people would know that ODST was just a simple 'expansion' and Reach I presume would turn out to be a full game that's worth the $60.