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Realistically, if anyone was going to make a prediction that was likely to be true it would be that Microsoft would use an IBM/ATI based system and release it between Q2 2011 and Q4 2013; and the exact same prediction is very likely to be true for Nintendo. Both Microsoft and Sony should have learned the lesson that it doesn’t make sense to drastically alter your architecture unless you can provide backwards compatibility through software; and (regardless of what the console manufacturers will say) very few console manufacturers will be able to maintain consumer interest in their console much past 5 or 6 years, especially if there is a new console on the market from a competitor.