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GameMusic on 09 November 2007
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HappySqurriel said:
GameMusic said:

What? You don't think that some of MS's business would have gone to Sony if they had a monopoly on HD consoles? And "striking distance" can mean a lot of things. I'm saying that in a 2-way race Sony would be in 2nd, but they wouldn't be supremely dominated like they are now. To make a wild guess, in a 2-way race:

Wii: 14m-16m (capped by production, but assume it would be increased faster)
PS3: 8m-10m (depending on how many XBox 360 titles went to PS3 instead)

Keep in mind that total console sales since the Wii launch have been about 25m.

Nintendo is capped by production meaning that with Wii sold out Sony would be the only console out there. Would those XBox 360 owners simply not buy any console? Would the 3rd party games on XBox 360 not exist? Microsoft got into the business to block Sony, so they must agree with me.

 


Thinking about it, in many ways the XBox 360 not being around could make things much (MUCH) worse for Sony ...

A large portion of the PS3's line-up right now is either multiplatform games or ports of XBox 360 games. Typically you'd expect that without direct competition these games would sell better on the PS3 and the PS3 would benefit from exclusivity, but I don't think you can make that argument. Without the XBox 360 many of these games would be delayed until the PS3's second year (waiting for a large-enough userbase); could you imagine how sparse the PS3's line-up would look if it lost 5 or 10 of the best multiplatform releases to date? How many people would be interested in the PS3 if it lost some of its key third party games?

The thing that is often missed by these "If (a) didn't happen then the PS3 would dominate" thoughts is that you can't change one thing (XBox 360) without it having an impact on other things (third party support).


Now you're just . I said it would influence 3rd parties and nothing about Sony domination.

Those 3rd party games wouldn't exist? No MS doesn't lead to the game industry just shutting down. Those multiplatform games would simply be different games, on one platform, or multiplatform on Wii.

I would think that the statement "a 2-way race would lead to some of the business going to the others" would be an easy comment, if not a tautology. Why would it lead to an argument?

Note: I'm a Nintendo loyalist and dislike Sony.