What? You don't think that some of MS's business would have gone to Sony if they had a monopoly on HD consoles? And "striking distance" can mean a lot of things. I'm saying that in a 2-way race Sony would be in 2nd, but they wouldn't be supremely dominated like they are now. To make a wild guess, in a 2-way race:
Wii: 14m-16m (capped by production, but assume it would be increased faster)
PS3: 8m-10m (depending on how many XBox 360 titles went to PS3 instead)
Keep in mind that total console sales since the Wii launch have been about 25m.
Nintendo is capped by production meaning that with Wii sold out Sony would be the only console out there. Would those XBox 360 owners simply not buy any console? Would the 3rd party games on XBox 360 not exist? Microsoft got into the business to block Sony, so they must agree with me.
