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twesterm said:
1) Prices might not fall as fast as they are now, but they would fall (especially in time for Christmas).

2) You are just flat out wrong there. If more people had HD TV's that might be true, but the HD saturation isn't anywhere near high enough to start phasing out DVD's yet.

Also, here's the largest reason it absolutely sucks and even if your two reasons weren't crap this one would still outweigh: unless you buy into both formats you're always going to be missing out on movies. As long as there's a split in the studios everyone who buys into an HD format and doesn't have both will be screwed.

That was why I said it might take 5+ years.  I think HDTV saturation will be quite high in 5 years.  I doubt you'll even be able to buy a new SDTV at that point.

As for prices, I don't think they'd even be near where they are now.  Especially if blu-ray had been chosen as the format, I doubt you'd see a standalone player in even the $400 range.   Which would mean I wouldn't be enjoying the HD content I am now for a few years yet.

I think if this recent fire sale spurs enough HD-DVD sales, blu-ray players will have to follow suite and get into the $200 price range fast.

I guess my point is that the format war has gotten me, as a consumer, into high def DVDs much faster then would otherwise be the case.  And I consider that a good thing.

I also don't think it eventually has to be one or the other.  I saw a new LG dual player for $600 at circuit city earlier this week.  It might not be long before the dual players make the whole thing irrelevant.