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MetalGearSolid_4ever said:
@selnor
From Wiki :
"In Holiday 2007, Xbox 360 Pro and Elite packages were bundled with Forza Motorsport 2 and Marvel: Ultimate Alliance. In the UK and the Netherlands, Forza Motorsport 2 was bundled with Viva Piñata." - 500k+ sales there. Maybe even more with bundles in AU and NZ.
Hence 4 million - 500k = 3.5 million lifetime.

Yeah but you have to take into mind that the install base in 2007 was a lot lower than it is now in 2009 and the price of the 360 is much lower. I'm not saying you're wrong nor am I predicting a number but there are a handful of other factors you have to put into play.