1. I agree with the original poster who said that 2009 was at the peak, or at least I did a quick scan of his post which seemed to say thus.
2. Decreasing the price by $50 will help, but it will be a 1/6 cut versus the 1/4 cut (from $400 to $300) that we have today, so even if you are correct about the amount and general timing of the cut, I don't think that it will have as big of an impact, especially considering that part of the reason for the surge in PS3 HW sales has came from a new and smaller model being put out.
3. Also, I agree with you, kinda, because while I think that the PS3 will decrease, that it will decline at a SLOWER RATE than the other two, simply because it isn't as old as the 360, that Sony has some great projects coming out (like the PSPgo which will be a high margin product b/c of its DIGITAL software), won't be wasting money on something like NATAL, and was made to have more lasting power unlike the wii, which has been wanting for AAA games lately but the AAA PS3 games are just getting started now that the PS3 has a stronger market.
After a few years, all consoles will decline as they get outdated, most will decline after about 4 years, which we are getting pretty close to with the PS3.
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