I'm just gonna chime in a bit. No need to call ioi bias as I think the Wii reaching 10 million is the most logical conclusion based on the data we have. It will be close so factoring in the unknown can tilt it to either side but he hasn't said anything that comes off as crazy. To ioi's little cheerleader guy that keeps telling people not to argue with him...drop it dude. It's a message board, that's kind of the point, and no one person is ever always right.
I'm gonna say the PS3 hits it's milestone first for a few reasons. One is that I think FFXIII will be bigger than most people are expecting (it will sell way more than 1.5 million) and NSMB will be smaller (still bigger than FFXIII). I think both consoles will have lower than expected holiday sales which will mean they'll have to reach their goals early next year and I say GT5 pushes PS3 ahead. There is also no way Wii will beat PS3 every week for the rest of the year. I'd bet on it.