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sharky said:
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Remeber NPD extrapolates for about 40% of the market so to say that they are perfectly accurate is false, they are just accepted as being accurate

 NPD actually covered 60-65%. And it might be slightly even higher now, as a couple months ago they added a bevy of new retail sources (some regional chains, Amazon/Newegg.com, etc).

The biggie they dont cover is pretty much just Wal Mart, but they used to cover Wal Mart (and still have that historical data), so they have a lot of insight into Wal Mart.

 

What does VGchartz have? A vague claim to "5-10%" coverage that is completely unverifiable and comes from amateur forum sources of questionable reliability. 

 

I'm totally not buying this "Vgchartz is as accurate as NPD". That's a lot of BS. VG has been undercounting 360 and overcounting PS3 pretty bad even the last few months (when the numbers are supposed to be becoming highly accurate). Who knows how bad they'd be skewing if NPD wasn't coming out to correct them each month, raising 360 sales and lowering PS3, even though still not enough after months of this. Sales could continue to go off on a tangent with no correcting factor.

I do assume ioi will still have a behind the scenes source for NPD numbers though.  

 


 Never argued that VGchartz is more accurate however i am pointing out that NPD is far from perfect as well even 60-65% is pretty close to flipping a coin to find out an answer



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)