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Media Create Senior Analyst Kenichi Chiba says that a realistic goal for Final Fantasy XIII is 1.5 million in December with total sales of around 1.7 to 1.8 million.

As reasoning behind this figure, Chiba used FFX's sales record and also considered overall sales trends for the FF series. FFX sold 2.4 million units when the PS2's install base was 5 million. Looking at this ratio, and considering that the PS3 could be at around 4 million systems by the time of FFXIII's release, one comes to about 1.9 million sales. However, the FF series as a whole has been slowly falling, with FFXII selling 2.25 million.

http://www.andriasang.com/e/blog/2009/10/01/media_create_ffxiii_sales_forecast/