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I believe it will do quite good, probably like 1.8M+
I have seen general perception on PS3 prediction is usually quite low on this site..

So i wont be surprised to see FFXIII doing almost 2M first week... rather i will be surprised to see it doing less than 1.5M first week.

i remember people were laughing when someone said that PS3 will be higher than Wii for more than 10 weeks in Japan... n it manages to do this quite easily.. and than everybody chipped in saying Wii didn't have any game released for so long n bla bla bla.. but at the time when the statement was made nobody believed on the success of PS3 n i dont think any surprise move is made my Sony so far this gen..