Yeah, it probably will. And SF, you left out the week ending September 28th, 2008 in your calculations.
From the 28th of September, 2008, to the 3rd of January, 2009, the PS3 and 360 sold the following amounts:
| Console | PS3 | X360 |
|
Total
|
3,993,983
|
5,893,796
|
The PS3 would have to sell 400k less units from now until the end of the year as the 360 did last year to reach 30 million - 5.45 million. It's certainly possible.
The 360 dropped to $199 on September 5th of last year. The following graph shows the 360's sales from the surrounding timeframe:
http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii®1=All&cons2=PS3®2=All&cons3=X360®3=All&start=39677&end=39747
As you can see, the 360 didn't have near the spike the ps3 did following the price cut, nor did it have as sustained weekly sales. It took until the week ending 10/26/08 for the 360 to even top 200k during one week. The ps3 obviously has far more momentum from its price cut compared to the 360 last year, and it should outperform the 360 from last year over the holidays. That's not even taking things like Final Fantasy XIII into the equation.
It is highly probable that the ps3 will top 30 million before the year is out.
