| snyperdud said: A $400 did 400k the week of Black Friday in 2008. Following weeks: 12/6/08: 365,049 12/13/08: 437,095 12/20/08: 525,092 12/27/08: 477,674 So, it would need roughly a 50% - 60% increase each week from last year. |
For comparison, the 360's figures from last year:
12/06/08: 575,824
12/13/08: 669,417
12/20/08: 861,964
12/27/08: 719,885
Total: ~2,826,000
However, the holiday boost usually begins in late October:
11/29/08
PS3 - 393,697
360 - 718,559
11/22/08
PS3 - 241,262
360 - 399,877
11/15/08
PS3 - 211,378
360 - 302,886
11/08/08
PS3 - 195,940
360 - 267,933
11/01/008
PS3 - 197,257
360 - 211,373
So if the ps3 truly levels off at around 200k (unlikely), it'll start selling above 200k weekly by the first week of November.
From the 28th of September to the 27th of December, 2008, the PS3 and 360 sold the following amounts:
| Console | PS3 | X360 |
|
Total
|
3,658,321
|
5,534,032
|
This PS3 would have to sell approximately the same amount of units from now until the end of the year as the 360 did last year to reach 30 million - 5.45 million. It's certainly possible.
Edit:
Also, both the ps3 and 360 topped 300k for the week ending 01/06/09, which I believe would be counted in the yearly totals, no? That would put the 360's numbers from last year well above what the ps3 would have to do this year to break 30 million.
The 360 dropped to $199 on September 5th of last year. The following graph shows the 360's sales from the surrounding timeframe:
As you can see, the 360 didn't have near the spike the ps3 did following the price cut, nor did it have as sustained weekly sales. It took until the week ending 10/26/08 for the 360 to even top 200k during one week. The ps3 obviously has far more momentum from its price cut compared to the 360 last year, and it should outperform the 360 from last year over the holidays. That's not even taking things like Final Fantasy XIII into the equation.
It is highly probable that the ps3 will top 30 million before the year is out.
