Wii 10 mln. or PS3 5 mln. in Japan. Who first?

[Avinash_Tyagi]

Soundwave said:

We'll see if Mario can do what WSR + Monster Hunter Tri + Jet Black Wii combined couldn't do ... get the Wii out of its Japanese doldrums.

I have some doubts that one game alone can do it as well. And it better be a great game, not just a good game.

The stakes are very high for that game.

I think relative to its userbase, Final Fantasy will see a surge on the PS3 because it's the first installment of the franchise with next-generation HD graphics. Much like MGS4 did not sell all that much less than MGS3 in Japan despite the PS3 having a much smaller userbase at that time. I think Famitsu is low balling with their estimates. If MGS4 can sell 700k+, I think FF13, a much bigger franchise coming out at a time where the PS3 is in much better shape can do 2 million+ and move a ton of those FF13 White PS3 bundles with it. 

I feel the PS3 will beat the Wii during the main late December-early January holiday push in Japan (which is the biggest sales period of the year), probably by a decent margin at that. They are obviously going to rout Nintendo in September thanks to the PS3 Slim.

  Actually Wii sold great when MH3 was released, but like all JRPG games it was a spike and then a drop off, FF13 will do the same, NSMB on the other hand will give a sustained boost