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I'm not exactly asking what Nintendo will do next more than I'm asking if you think their next console, whatever it is, will be considered a failure if it doesn't match the sales of the Wii.

And yes, I think their next console will be an upgraded version of the Wii, however I see it being a more drastic upgrade than we're normally keen to seeing from generation to generation. Nintendo has captured the casuals and some hardcores. If they can make the Wii as good as or at least close to as powerful as the next Playstation or XBOX, I can see them taking some of the audience that the 360 and PS3 appeals to that the Wii doesn't.

@O-D-C
Do you think the control scheme will help or hurt, though? AFAIK, the Gamecube didn't do the best - which isn't to say it didn't have some good games, but it just didn't perform the best as a console.