why do people think 360 will come in third?

[Lost tears of Kain]

carlos710 said:

Lost tears of Kain said:
holy shit carlos lets take a look at some things

On pace to sell 150 million? After its first year (very soon) it will have sold (ill give you benefit of the doubt) 15 million, now even if wii goes another 6 years, thats 90 million, im still trying to figure out how the wii i just going to sky rocket like that

Those software ratios, how many are 3rd party? 1st party is great and everything (im guessing they included stuff such as wii sports/play.....) but 3rd party is huge

 You obviously don't know that the first year is usually the slowest or one of the slowers for most consoles, as people waits for more games being released and cheaper price points. This is just common sense here

The wii has been breaking most ps2 records everywhere in the world, and the ps2 did around 120m+... the market has growth, so i would say 150m+ (at least) is about right for the Wi.

They just showed all software, i guess they included Wii Sports and Wii play, and rightfully so: We are paying for those games, and we can play those games. Thus, I don't see any reason why they shouldn't be included.

Once again, most 3rd party games of the xbox 360 are available on the pc with more features, and even "free" (yes, piracy, which is huge on computers). 

Alright, if MS throws in a cheap packman for a dollar for every 360 owner who buys, then they can count those ratios? I mean we are buying and playing them so they should count?

This generation is quite a bit different from ps2 generation, you said the market has been growing well, also the other two "losing" consoles are also going to sell more then their past generation. Also ps2 dominated because it possessed all the games, weve yet to see this happen to the wii, but if it happens your prediction is possible

WHat percentage of computers can actually run these top tier games?