why do people think 360 will come in third?

[ilovetogame]

i think 360 and ps3 will finish very close, within 2 million of each other. the reason:

obviously 360 has a huge lead which seems insurmountable but you gotta break it down by territory to get my answer. ps3 sells poorly in japan, poorly in the usa, and is starting to sell okay in europe. 360 is dead in japan and always has been, now sells poorly in europe, and is selling well (great recently) in usa. the thing is, 360 only has one strong market and even though its the biggest market the 360 only caters to hardcore gamers. so even though it will trounce the ps3 in america it will eventually run out of people to sell to because casuals won't be buying it. thats the main problem with microsoft, its definitely the most hardcore system but because of that it has no widespread appeal. and its already dead in japan and ps3 will probably take over the europe hd scene from 360. so i see by the end ps3 beating out 360 by about 4-5 million in japan (5-6 mil to 1), it catching up and beating out 360 by 5 million in europe which i got just by taking this weeks sales difference, rounded up to 35,000 and extrapolated over the next 4 years and taking into account 360s current 2 million unit lead. then in the usa i think 360 will beat it by over 10 million. lets just say 13 mil. so when you figure that all out i have 360 winning by 3-4 million. so thats a bit more than the 2 mil difference i stated earlier, but now if you take anyone who sony fanboy they are gonna automatically inflate sony's likely future sales so then you've got a ps3 that sells like 10 million more than 360, even though that is highly unlikely.

basically its 360's american vs. sony's japan and europe. i say america wins cuz we are the best country!! but some people actually think american ps3 sales are gonna pick up a lot.