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360 is likely to remain a disappointing third in Japan. That said, for world wide, IMHO, I think it's going to be pretty close between second and third place, and I think Sony has a good chance of coming out second, but so does Microsoft.

Only a year ago, most people were predicting the Wii to come in third.  A lot can happen in a year...  Actually, if there will be a disappointing third place for either Microsoft or Sony, and not just a close race between second and third place, I predit the next 2-3 months will be critical in defining it.