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The 53-47 split is based upon the estimates of Jim Bottoms, managing director of corporate development for Futuresource Consulting.

Futuresource also puts American 3D-enabled TV household penetration at 45% by 2014, compared to just 12% estimated in 2010.

The 53-47 split has several interpretations.

1. In bad economic times, those with money can still afford things.
2. People are buying BR when they upgrade to HD-TV.
3. People are buying BR when they need to replace their DVD player.
4. The DVD market is saturated.
5. PS3 sales help BR-DVD sales.

The install base will continue to drive software development for years to come, however. Because it is probably a lot closer to 80-20 than 50-50.

Mike from Morgantown



      


I am Mario.


I like to jump around, and would lead a fairly serene and aimless existence if it weren't for my friends always getting into trouble. I love to help out, even when it puts me at risk. I seem to make friends with people who just can't stay out of trouble.

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