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saicho said:

base line = how the console would sell without any help from software release.

Even with the releases of Ninja Gaiden Sigma 2, Tekken 6, Dynasty Warriors, and Bayonetta after ToV next week, I don't think PS3 will stay over 30K in Japan.

I don't expect the PS3 selling less than 30k per week until the end of 2009.