Official Forza Motorsport 3 predictions thread.

[Lord Flashheart]

Gazz said:

Seece said:

Gazz said:

Seece said:

Gazz said:
It will peek in the first week with 300.000 and it will quickly crumble after that. 2 million lifetime at the most, not counting bundles. 2 million is still an impressive number though.

Europeans hardly care with GT around the corner and NA is stacking up on PS3 at the moment as hardware sales clearly show, many of them are currently buying platinum games on PS3. Japan sales are insignificant.

Rubbish, you speak as if every europe/other gamer owns a PS3.

No, not every one. A large and significant group however does and they care about games like GT. The PS3 momentum now and the soon to follow Wii momentum due to a price cut will overshadow any game on 360 or pc. Sad but true for the good old pc.

 

Beautiful multiplat games like Need for speed shift recently being released aren't helping either. Let's not forget about Dirt 2 either, great game btw.

"A large and significant group" - I could say exactly the same about 360.

People that own a 360 are not suddenly going to stop buying games because PS3 and Wii sales rise .. there is still a 12 million userbase you're totally forgetting.

Money can only be spend once, ofcourse higher PS3 and Wii sales will affect the 360. Let's say there are 10 people planning to get forza with an 360 who recently also got a PS3 due to the pricecut. It's fair to say they are more inclined to look at what their new purchase has to offer and are very likely to get some games that are exclusive to the PS3 and they had missed before. I assume 7 of those people are now unlikely to get the game they would have gotten before since the budget is gone.

 

Due to piracy being pretty large in Europe I also think the 12 million userbase should be taken with a very very large grain of salt.

So you're saying the people who recently picked up a slim will be more inclined to buy a game for the PS3 than the 360.

Ok I agree but then assuming that they own a 360 as well and remembering this game isn't out for over a month so by then the honeymoon period will be over for them and they could be looking at games for their 360 now.
Also they might have wanted this game before the slim was even announced as well as by the time Forza is released the slim would've sold how many? Say 700,000 in Europe and say they all have 360's and they've all stopped buying 360 games that still leaves 11 and a half million potential buyers so I can't see this being that big a factor.