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makingmusic476 on 08 September 2009
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ph4nt said:
vitoaf27 said:
People talking about "sustaining" these sales haven't thought about their software and bundle lineup. We have U2 and PES in October, GT5 in early December, FF13 in mid December[Japan], GoW3 in March, and FF13 in spring. Plus we have Agent confirmed for '10 release, ModNation Racers, and a nice looking holiday lineup for next year. That French website confirmed 7 bundles this holiday season, all of which looked very appealing. I don't see the X360 outselling the PS3 until '11, besides possibly Halo weeks.

And out of all those games, only FF 13 (in Japan) and GT 5 are system movers. Sure there are tons of great games, but there effects will be minimal.

 

Back on topic. I think the 400-500% increase can be rather misleading.

 

The slim was leaked months ago, and sales took a huge hit dropping to (pretty much) there lowest ever. shortages occurred for several weeks as the old PS3 stock was clearing out.

I'd say there was probably 200-250k pent up demand worldwide looking at how low PS3 sales got before the slim. The $100 price cut and slim release obviously had a huge boost as well coupled with an improved advertising campaign.

I think it would be best to compare the weekly average in October to see how it will perform in the holidays.

God of War III will certainly be a system seller in North America.  The first God of War sold 2.48 million in NA, and the sequel sold 1.79 million despite having released well after all three next gen consoles.  For comparison, Metal Gear Solid 2 only sold 2.29 million in NA, and Metal Gear Solid 3 only managed 1.42 million.

MGS4 currently sits at 1.76 million in North America, and it managed to spike the ps3's sales up 212% to 159k the week of its release. God of War III will surely do something similar, if not a bit better.

Elsewhere, however, God of War will pass with barely a whipser.